کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
4580772 1630169 2006 14 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Calibration of conceptual hydrological models revisited: 1. Overcoming numerical artefacts
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات فرآیندهای سطح زمین
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Calibration of conceptual hydrological models revisited: 1. Overcoming numerical artefacts
چکیده انگلیسی

Conceptual hydrological modelling has traditionally been plagued by calibration difficulties due to the roughness and complex shape of objective functions. These problems led to the abandonment of powerful classical analysis methods (Newton-type optimisation, derivative-based uncertainty analysis) and have motivated extensive research into nonsmooth optimisation and even new parameter estimation philosophies (e.g. GLUE). This paper shows that some of these complexities are not inherent features of hydrological models, but are numerical artefacts due to model thresholds and poorly selected time stepping schemes. We present a numerically robust methodology for implementing conceptual models, including rainfall-runoff and snow models, that ensures micro-scale smoothness of objective functions and guarantees macro-scale model stability. The methodology employs robust and unconditionally stable time integration of the models, complemented by careful threshold smoothing. A case study demonstrates the benefits of these techniques.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Hydrology - Volume 320, Issues 1–2, 30 March 2006, Pages 173–186
نویسندگان
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