کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5116041 1485146 2017 13 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Rapid seismic risk assessment
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
ارزیابی خطر سریع لرزه ای
کلمات کلیدی
ریسک لرزه ای؛ کرواسی؛ روش سریع؛ خطر؛ آسیب پذیری؛ ساختمان ها؛ تراکم جمعیت
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات فیزیک زمین (ژئو فیزیک)
چکیده انگلیسی

This paper deals with seismic risk on the Croatian territory, especially since population growth in risk-prone areas increases the potential loss due to an earthquake. The net effects of such urbanization factors are examined through the use of simulation models that estimate building inventory under possible seismic hazard expressed with peak ground acceleration. A case study of seismic risk assessments is illustrated using Croatian cities to give an overview of the overall relative risk in Croatia as developing country using general parameters from Census data. Results of a prospective analysis indicate that, for the same seismic event, the overall risk is expected to increase due to growth of population in pre-code building inventory and populated areas and cities. This relative rapid assessment presented in this paper points out which cities need detailed analysis and enables city planners to incorporate seismic risk analysis into pre-disaster emergency and land-use planning to encourage risk-reduction strategies. The validation of proposed assessment was done on L'Aquila Province based on data after L'Aquila earthquake 2009. Results indicate prediction of realistic risk for the study area based on vulnerabilities of buildings and exposure of population with relative errors of 12% and 8% respectively.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction - Volume 24, September 2017, Pages 348-360
نویسندگان
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