Modeling the population dynamics and community impacts of Ambystoma tigrinum: A case study of phenotype plasticity

Two competing hypotheses for the conditions under which metamorphosis occurs are examined in light of the model and data from an Ambystoma tigrinum population at Mexican Cut, Colorado. The model clearly supports one of these over the other for this data set. There appears to be a mathematical basis to the general tenet of spatiotemporal variation being important for the maintenance of polyphenisms, and our results suggest that such variation may have cascading effects on population, community, and perhaps ecosystem dynamics because it drives the production of a keystone, cannibalistic predator.