کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
7258064 1472434 2018 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A mixed effects negative binomial analysis of road mortality determinants in Sub-Saharan African countries
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
یک اثر مخلوط منفی تجزیه و تحلیل دوجمله ای عوامل تعیین کننده مرگ و میر جاده در کشورهای جنوب صحرای آفریقا
کلمات کلیدی
جنوب صحرای آفریقا، تلفات ترافیکی، مدلهای دوبعدی منفی،
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی روانشناسی روان شناسی کاربردی
چکیده انگلیسی
This paper uses aggregate data for a panel of 23 Sub-Saharan African countries to explore the potential predictors of road traffic fatalities between 2001 and 2010. In addition to the Gross Domestic Product per capita, the set of covariates includes some demographic, safe driving behavior, health and infrastructure-related variables. Estimations from a mixed effects negative binomial regression suggest that the fraction of populations aged between 15 and 64 years, the size of the road network and seat belt laws significantly increase fatalities. However, populations of age 65 and above, hospital beds and physicians' densities, and road audits significantly decrease these fatalities. Moreover, traffic fatalities are found to increase with the Gross Domestic Product per capita. The economic implications of this finding is not to lower the economic growth but to design policies and technologies that could prevent African countries from experiencing the same road tragedy observed in industrialized countries during their development process.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour - Volume 52, January 2018, Pages 120-126
نویسندگان
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