Multi-scale scenarios of spatial-temporal dynamics in the European livestock sector

▶ The study is a novel modeling approach for simulating spatio-temporal dynamics of livestock. ▶ Drivers operating at different spatial scales are integrated. ▶ Results indicate for most of the old European Union member states decreasing livestock numbers. ▶ In the new EU member countries numbers of beef cattle and poultry are expected to grow. ▶ Livestock densities are expected to increase in absence of environmental legislations. ▶ Environmental pressure from livestock may also remain if environmental policies are in place. ▶ New areas of environmental pressure due to livestock will more likely occur without such policies.