Evaluation of Different Screening Tools for Predicting Femoral Neck Osteoporosis in Rural South Indian Postmenopausal Women

The measurement of bone mineral density by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scan is the “gold standard” for the diagnosis of osteoporosis, which has limited availability in many parts of India. This study was done to assess the diagnostic performance of 6 internationally validated tools (Simple Calculated Osteoporosis Risk Estimation [SCORE], age, bulk, one or never estrogen [ABONE], Osteoporosis Risk Assessment Instrument [ORAI] and Osteoporosis Self-Assessment Tool for Asians [OSTA], Fracture Risk Assessment Tool [FRAX®], and calcaneal quantitative ultrasound [QUS]) for the diagnosis of osteoporosis at the femoral neck (FN). This was a cross-sectional study conducted in 2108 ambulatory South Indian rural postmenopausal women who were assessed with SCORE, ABONE, ORAI, OSTA, and FRAX® tools. QUS was performed in 850 subjects. Bone mineral density was estimated by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scan at the FN, and sensitivity and specificity were calculated for all tools for predicting FN osteoporosis. The receiver operating characteristic curve was constructed for each tool and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated. FN osteoporosis was seen in 27%. The sensitivities of SCORE, ABONE, OSTA, ORAI, FRAX®, and QUS were 91.3%, 91.0%, 88.5%, 81.0%, 72.7%, and 81.9%, and the specificities were 36.0%, 33.5%, 41.7%, 52.0%, 60.5%, and 50.3%, respectively, for the FN osteoporosis. When the receiver operating characteristics were constructed, the AUC was good only for SCORE (0.806), and the performance of the rest was under fair category (0.713-0.766). In our large cohort of rural postmenopausal women, the SCORE screening tool was found to be useful with good sensitivity and good AUC for predicting FN osteoporosis. Thus, this tool may be used in resource-limited countries to screen the population at risk and to enable treating physicians to make appropriate management decisions.