Return migration predictors for undocumented Mexican immigrants living in Dallas

• Mexican immigrants to Dallas with connections to origin community in Mexico more likely to intend to return to Mexico than those without such connections.
• Mexican immigrants to Dallas with connections in the destination community in the US are more likely to intend to remain in US than those without such connections.
• Female immigrants from Mexico more likely to intend to remain than their male counterparts.

This study uses a survey of undocumented Mexican immigrants living in Dallas to identify variables that predict the likelihood of return migration of undocumented Mexican immigrants. Male immigrants and immigrants under age 25 are more likely to intend to return to Mexico. Surprisingly, length of US residence is not a significant predictor of intended return. In contrast, prior immigrant experience is a significant predictor of intent to return to Mexico. Highly educated immigrants are likely to intend to return to Mexico, probably because the relative skill benefit is greater in the origin country. Immigrants from the Mexican state of Guanajuato are likely to intend to return to Mexico, while those from San Luis Potosi are likely to intend to remain in the US. Immigrants who own a home in Dallas are likely to remain in the US, while those who own land in Mexico are likely to return to Mexico.