Corotating interaction regions during the recent solar minimum: The power and limitations of global MHD modeling

The declining phase of solar activity cycle 23 has provided an unprecedented opportunity to study the evolution and properties of corotating interaction regions (CIRs) during unique and relatively steady conditions. The absence of significant transient activity has allowed modelers to test ambient solar wind models, but has also challenged them to reproduce structure that was qualitatively different than had been observed previously (at least within the space era). In this study, we present and analyze global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) solutions of the inner heliosphere (from 1RS1RS to 1 AU) for several intervals defined as part of a Center for Integrated Space weather Modeling (CISM) interdisciplinary campaign study, and, in particular, Carrington rotation 2060. We compare in situ measurements from ACE and STEREO A and B with the model results to illustrate both the capabilities and limitations of current numerical techniques. We show that, overall, the models do capture the essential structural features of the solar wind for specific time periods; however, there are times when the models and observations diverge. We describe, and, to some extent assess the sources of error in the modeling chain from the input photospheric magnetograms to the numerical schemes used to propagate structure through the heliosphere, and speculate on how they may be resolved, or at least mitigated in the future.

► The recent solar minimum is challenging for coronal and heliospheric models.
► Comparisons with observations illustrate the abilities and limitations of models.
► Overall, the models capture the essential structural features of the solar wind.
► We assess the sources of error in the modeling chain from Sun to Earth.