کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
4449690 | 1311647 | 2016 | 6 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
• Warming is occurring in Iran over the past five decades.
• Extreme high temperature events are increasing in Iran over the past five decades.
• Urban population growth in Iran is contributing to the occurrence of extreme high temperature events.
We analyzed spatial and temporal patterns in temperature extremes from 31 stations located throughout Iran for the period 1961 to 2010. As with many other parts of the globe, we found that the number of days (a) with high maximum temperatures was rising, (b) with high minimum temperatures was rising, and (c) with low minimum temperatures was declining; all of these trends were statistically significant at the 0.05 level of confidence. Population records from 1956 to 2011 at the station locations allowed us to reveal that the rate of human population growth was positively related to the increase in the number of days with high maximum temperatures and negatively related to days with low maximum temperatures. Our research shows a number of identifiable anthropogenic signals in the temperature records from Iran, but unlike most other studies, the signals are stronger with indices related to maximum, not minimum, temperatures.
Journal: Atmospheric Research - Volume 169, Part A, 1 March 2016, Pages 96–101