کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
4579942 1630138 2007 11 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Gibbs sampling of climatic trends and periodicities
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات فرآیندهای سطح زمین
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Gibbs sampling of climatic trends and periodicities
چکیده انگلیسی

SummaryTrends and periodic movements in climatic series are treated as non-stationary components. A time series model and Bayesian statistics are combined through a Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure. Gibbs sampling is used in the Monte Carlo application. Monthly series of river flow, rainfall and temperature from northern Italy are used. Some late temperature rises are noted, otherwise there are no systematic increases or decreases in the series. Changes in periodicity are also of a random nature. From the results it is also possible to compare these properties between different locations and climatic indicators.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Hydrology - Volume 339, Issues 1–2, 10 June 2007, Pages 54–64
نویسندگان
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