کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5113080 1484079 2017 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Interannual variability of western North Pacific subtropical high, East Asian jet and East Asian summer precipitation: CMIP5 simulation and projection
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات زمین شناسی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Interannual variability of western North Pacific subtropical high, East Asian jet and East Asian summer precipitation: CMIP5 simulation and projection
چکیده انگلیسی
Based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) simulations, this paper evaluated the performance of the state-of-the-art climate models in simulating the interannual variability of the western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH), East Asian jet (EAJ) and East Asian summer rainfall (EASR), and further projected their potential changes in a future warmer world. The results show that the multimodel ensemble mean (MME) simulation has good ability to model the interannual variability of the WNPSH, EAJ and EASR, although some discrepancy exists among the individual models. The MME simulation can also reasonably capture the observed relationship of the EASR with the WNPSH and the EAJ. Under the RCP4.5 and the RCP8.5 scenarios, the interannual variability in WNPSH, EAJ and EASR is projected by the MME to increase in the 21st century. In addition, the WNPSH and EAJ would still be the dominant systems influencing the East Asian summer precipitation under global warming scenarios. But the linkage of the EASR to the WNPSH may be slightly weaker and that to the EAJ may be slightly stronger in the 21st century as compared to the present.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Quaternary International - Volume 440, Part B, 10 June 2017, Pages 64-70
نویسندگان
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