کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5765073 1626605 2017 25 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A simple mathematical model to predict sea surface temperature over the northwest Indian Ocean
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
یک مدل ریاضی ساده برای پیش بینی دمای سطح دریا در شمال غربی اقیانوس هند
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات زمین شناسی
چکیده انگلیسی
A novel and simple mathematical model was developed in this study to enhance the capacity of a reduced-order model based on eigenvectors (RMEV) to predict sea surface temperature (SST) in the northwest portion of the Indian Ocean, including the Persian and Oman Gulfs and Arabian Sea. Developed using only the first two of 12,416 possible modes, the enhanced RMEV closely matched observed daily optimum interpolation SST (DOISST) values. Spatial distribution of the first mode indicated the greatest variations in DOISST occurred in the Persian Gulf. Also, the slightly increasing trend in the temporal component of the first mode observed in the study area over the last 34 years properly reflected the impact of climate change and rising DOISST. Given its simplicity and high level of accuracy, the enhanced RMEV can be applied to forecast DOISST in oceans, which the poor forecasting performance and large computational-time of other numerical models may not allow.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science - Volume 197, 15 October 2017, Pages 236-243
نویسندگان
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