Sea-level change in the Northern Mediterranean Sea from long-period tide gauge time series

Our estimated rates for the northern Mediterranean, a relatively small regional sea, are slightly lower than the global mean rate, + 1.7 ± 0.2 mm/year, recently published in the IPCC AR5 (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 5th Assessment Report) (Church et al., 2013), but close enough, if uncertainties are taken into account. It is known that Mediterranean stations had always had lower trends than the global-average ones. Our regional results, however, are in close agreement with the global mean rate, + 1.2 mm/year, published by Hay et al. (2015) which is currently being discussed by the oceanographic community (see, for example, Hamlington and Thompson, 2015). The six time series were also analyzed by means of the EOF (Empirical Orthogonal Functions) technique over the 1934-2012 common period. As a result, about 50% of the total variance is explained by the first mode, which is characterized by a coherent behavior of the six stations.