کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6444089 1356748 2015 17 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Current affairs in earthquake prediction in Japan
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
امور جاری در پیش بینی زلزله در ژاپن
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات زمین شناسی
چکیده انگلیسی
As of mid-2014, the main organizations of the earthquake (EQ hereafter) prediction program, including the Seismological Society of Japan (SSJ), the MEXT Headquarters for EQ Research Promotion, hold the official position that they neither can nor want to make any short-term prediction. It is an extraordinary stance of responsible authorities when the nation, after the devastating 2011 M9 Tohoku EQ, most urgently needs whatever information that may exist on forthcoming EQs. Japan's national project for EQ prediction started in 1965, but it has made no success. The main reason for no success is the failure to capture precursors. After the 1995 Kobe disaster, the project decided to give up short-term prediction and this stance has been further fortified by the 2011 M9 Tohoku Mega-quake. This paper tries to explain how this situation came about and suggest that it may in fact be a legitimate one which should have come a long time ago. Actually, substantial positive changes are taking place now. Some promising signs are arising even from cooperation of researchers with private sectors and there is a move to establish an “EQ Prediction Society of Japan”. From now on, maintaining the high scientific standards in EQ prediction will be of crucial importance.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Asian Earth Sciences - Volume 114, Part 2, 15 December 2015, Pages 431-434
نویسندگان
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