کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
9491419 1630185 2005 30 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Generic probability distribution of rainfall in space: the bivariate model
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات فرآیندهای سطح زمین
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Generic probability distribution of rainfall in space: the bivariate model
چکیده انگلیسی
The bivariate conditional (on precipitation occurrence at both points) distribution is suitably represented by the meta-Gaussian model. Consequently, the bivariate distribution can be constructed from eight elements: four constants and four univariate functions. The three marginal conditional distributions of each variate obey a dominance law uncovered herein through statistical tests. This law is exploited to establish parametric transformations between the marginal conditional distributions. A potential application is demonstrated in real-time forecasting: Given four elements (two probabilities and two marginal conditional distributions) specified by a probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecast (PQPF), and given five climatic parameters, the bivariate distribution of precipitation amounts can be constructed san arbitrary assumptions. Lastly, comparisons are made between the generic bivariate distribution and the bivariate distributions implied by previously published multivariate models of precipitation fields, revealing approximations and flaws imbedded in these models.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Hydrology - Volume 306, Issues 1–4, 9 May 2005, Pages 234-263
نویسندگان
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