کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
1714722 | 1519959 | 2013 | 4 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Provocative radio transients and base rate bias: A Bayesian argument for conservatism
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موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
سایر رشته های مهندسی
مهندسی هوافضا
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چکیده انگلیسی
Most searches for alien radio transmissions have focused on finding omni-directional or purposefully earth-directed beams of enduring duration. However, most of the interesting signals so far detected have been transient and non-repeatable in nature. These signals could very well be the first data points in an ever-growing data base of such signals used to construct a probabilistic argument for the existence of extraterrestrial intelligence. This paper looks at the effect base rate bias could have on deciding which signals to include in such an archive based upon the likely assumption that our ability to discern natural from artificial signals will be less than perfect.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Acta Astronautica - Volume 91, OctoberâNovember 2013, Pages 194-197
Journal: Acta Astronautica - Volume 91, OctoberâNovember 2013, Pages 194-197
نویسندگان
Thomas W. Hair,