Mechanics of basin inversion: Finite element modelling of the Pannonian Basin System

This finite element modelling study addresses the contraction of rheologically layered and laterally heterogeneous lithosphere representative for the Pannonian Basin and its surroundings. The time interval and strain rate adopted in the experiments reflect the Pliocene–Quaternary inversion of the basin. Several sets of fully coupled elastoviscoplastic thermo-mechanical, plane strain 2D models explore the evolution of buckling, and stress/strain changes across the lithosphere. The viscous rheology of the asthenosphere allows for a detailed simulation of isostatic rebound during deformation.The numerical models predict the successive development of surface undulations, caused by crustal and/or lithosphere folding, at three different characteristic wavelengths. Among these, the longest wavelength folds occur systematically at the rim of the basin as marginal bulges, while the short wavelength folds overprint the earlier folds and are observed at a later stage during compression. The thermo-mechanical evolution of the lithosphere in response to progressive horizontal contraction is described in terms of a characteristic delay of the changes in the stress regime and a reduction of elastic strain in the strong crustal layers. The models predict a change in stress state along the flanks of the basin, caused by the development of weak basin lithosphere in their vicinity. Comparing the modelling results with tectonic features of the Pannonian Basin has resulted in the identification of three different stages in the Pliocene–Quaternary basin inversion of the Pannonian–Carpathian system.