کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6362437 1315684 2010 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Prediction of algal blooms using genetic programming
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات اقیانوس شناسی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Prediction of algal blooms using genetic programming
چکیده انگلیسی
In this study, an attempt was made to mathematically model and predict algal blooms in Tolo Harbor (Hong Kong) using genetic programming (GP). Chlorophyll plays a vital role in blooms and was used in this model as a measure of algal bloom biomass, and eight other variables were used as input for its prediction. It has been observed that GP evolves multiple models with almost the same values of errors-of-measure. Previous studies on GP modeling have primarily focused on comparing GP results with actual values. In contrast, in this study, the main aim was to propose a systematic procedure for identifying the most appropriate GP model from a list of feasible models (with similar error-of-measure) using a physical understanding of the process aided by data interpretation. Evaluation of the GP-evolved equations shows that they correctly identify the ecologically significant variables. Analysis of the final GP-evolved mathematical model indicates that, of the eight variables assumed to affect algal blooms, the most significant effects are due to chlorophyll, total inorganic nitrogen and dissolved oxygen for a 1-week prediction. For longer lead predictions (biweekly), secchi-disc depth and temperature appear to be significant variables, in addition to chlorophyll.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Marine Pollution Bulletin - Volume 60, Issue 10, October 2010, Pages 1849-1855
نویسندگان
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