کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
6441959 | 1639354 | 2014 | 12 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Streamflow forecasting for operational water management in the Incomati River Basin, Southern Africa
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
علوم زمین و سیارات
ژئوشیمی و پترولوژی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
چکیده انگلیسی
Results show that there is some scope for streamflow forecasting that can support water management decision making in the basin. The rainfall and streamflow of the previous months and/or season can be used to predict the streamflow in the next month and/or season with reasonable to good results. Results obtained during low flow periods (May-September) were found to be better than those obtained for the high flow periods (October-April). However, inclusion of ENSO and/or SST as an explanatory variable enhanced forecast skill, particularly during high flow periods. Forecasts were conducted for streamflow being in the below normal, above normal or normal terciles, with the forecasts for the extremes found to have better skill than forecast for the streamflow being in the normal tercile. Forecasts for low flows demonstrated the best skills, with these being of most use to the allocation of the scarce water resources.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C - Volumes 72â75, 2014, Pages 1-12
Journal: Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C - Volumes 72â75, 2014, Pages 1-12
نویسندگان
R.K.M. Sunday, I. Masih, M. Werner, P. van der Zaag,