A hybrid Monte Carlo acceleration method of pricing basket options based on splitting

Pricing basket options has always been one of the key problems in financial engineering because of high dimensionality and low convergence rate. This paper proposes a hybrid Monte Carlo variance reduction method for pricing basket options. First, by splitting the payoff of the basket option into two parts, we can price basket options by value the two parts respectively. The first part has a closed-form expectation formula, the second part can be considered as a small probability event. To reduce variance for simulating the second part, the conditional Monte Carlo (CMC) method combined with the importance sampling(IS) method is adapted. Because these two methods are all effective to deal with small probability events. For IS method, it is a challenge to compute the optimal parameters with as little computational cost as possible. Therefore, an efficient prediction-correction(PC) iteration algorithm based on moment estimation is proposed to determine the optimal parameters in the importance sampling method. Some theoretical analyses for the existence and uniqueness of the optimal parameters in the IS method and the convergence of the PC method are also given. Numerical results show that the hybrid variance reduction method has great variance reduction effect and PC iteration algorithm can save a lot of computing costs comparing with the traditional Newton's iteration method.