کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
8913067 | 1639925 | 2018 | 64 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A new assessment of modern climate change, China-An approach based on paleo-climate
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
ارزیابی جدیدی از تغییرات اقلیمی مدرن، چینی- یک رویکرد مبتنی بر پائولو-آب و هوا است
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کلمات کلیدی
ارزیابی، هولوسن، تغییر آب و هوا، چین، پالایش آب و هوا، موزن آسیایی،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
علوم زمین و سیارات
زمین شناسی
چکیده انگلیسی
China is the country with the most population in the world, and its climate is extremely diverse due to tremendous differences in latitude, longitude, and altitude, ranging from tropical in the far south to subarctic in the far north and alpine in the higher elevations of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Accurate assessment of its modern climate change is conductive to addressing global warming threat. Along with the development of Past Global Changes (PAGES) research, the focus has changed from paleo-climate reconstructions to using paleo-data for assessing the present and predicting the future. Previous studies have been devoted to climate change assessment using modern climate observations and simulations. This paper presents a new assessment approach based on the mid-Holocene, which provides a naturally oriented warming that can be compared to modern human-made global warming. A variety of climatic data, including modern observations, paleo-climate records, CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) and PMIP3 (Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project 3) simulations, as well as lake level models, were applied in this synthesis. Numerical climate classification was introduced to evaluate climate change impacts to Chinese climate zones on various time scales. The results show that winter and summer seasons have different response to the naturally oriented mid-Holocene warming but human-made global warming makes the warming trend appear in all seasons. Temperate and continental dry winter climates expand dramatically during the mid-Holocene warm period; however, the future global warming could have few impacts to Chinese climate zones. Furthermore, the East Asian summer monsoon was strengthened obviously by the mid-Holocene warm climate and strong low-latitude insolation. There is no consistent trend both for the winter and summer monsoon on the background of human-made global warming. In this study, a new benchmark was established based on paleo-climate to evaluate the impacts of human-made global warming.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Earth-Science Reviews - Volume 177, February 2018, Pages 458-477
Journal: Earth-Science Reviews - Volume 177, February 2018, Pages 458-477
نویسندگان
Yu Li, Yuan Liu, Wangting Ye, Lingmei Xu, Gengrui Zhu, Xinzhong Zhang, Chengqi Zhang,