Evolution of glacier-dammed lakes through space and time; Brady Glacier, Alaska, USA

Glacier-dammed lakes and their associated jökulhlaups cause severe flooding in downstream areas and substantially influence glacier dynamics. Brady Glacier in southeast Alaska is well suited for a study of these phenomena because it presently dams 10 large (> 1 km2) lakes. Our objectives are to demonstrate how Brady Glacier and its lakes have co-evolved in the past and to apply this knowledge to predict how the glacier and its lakes will likely evolve in the future. To accomplish these objectives, we georeferenced a variety of maps, airphotos, and optical satellite imagery to characterize the evolution of the glacier and lakes. We also collected bathymetry data and created bathymetric maps of select lakes. Despite small advances and retreats, the main terminus of Brady Glacier has changed little since 1880. However, it downwasted at rates of 2–3 m/y between 1948 and 2000, more than the regional average. The most dramatic retreat (2 km) and downwasting (120 m) have occurred adjacent to glacier-dammed lakes and are primarily the result of calving. Brady Glacier is a former tidewater glacier. With continued downwasting, Brady Glacier may return to a tidewater regime and enter into a phase of catastrophic retreat. The situation at Brady Glacier is not unique, and the lessons learned here can be applied elsewhere to identify future glacier-dammed lakes, jökulhlaups, and glacier instability.